Euro And S&P 500 Important Levels

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One of the strongest currencies for the past few days was Canadian dollar. We however still believe that a higher Usd/Cad will be seen, but the pair may reach even 1.0240 region before the trend reverses. But once this occurs a fall on Eur/Usd and Gbp/Usd should be significant.

In start of this week the bullish sentiment will likely remain on stocks, which is involved already since the better than expected GDP data for Australia and good manufacturing numbers came out of China in the past week. Technically the S&P 500 rallied significantly higher from an important 1040 level, and it seems that 1030 could be tested this week, where a failure break should be seen from an Elliott Wave perspective. We are talking about a possible complex corrective structure, W-X-Y pattern that still may be unfolding from 1010, black wave I low. If that will be the case, then we should look for a bounce lower from around 1140 area, where a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level is shown.

If that would be the case, then we still should see more upside on Eur/Usd, with move towards the psychological 1.3000 region, where a previous bullish support line should react as a significant resistance, around 50-61.8% retracement level of a recent decline. In this region you will also see a falling trend line from December 2009 highs.

We are not saying that levels on S&P and Euro will be reached, all I just want to says that I will keep an eye on them if they occur in this week, for a possible Long Dollar move; of course if the intra-day wave count will also say so at that time .

What we do?! Our team makes daily updates for Eur/Usd, Gbp/Usd, Aud/Usd, Usd/Cad, Usd/Chf, Usd/Jpy, Oil, Gold, S/P Futures and Dollar Index.

Members will also receive all 4 hour wave counts that are updated every day, before the European session gets underway plus the intra-day wave counts (less than 4 hour chart, such as 1 hour or 30 min chart) which are posted and updated during the European and U.S. trading sessions.

Our members and e-mail subscribers (free) will also receive an Elliott Wave Newsletter where we present our bias and anticipations for the next 24 hours for one or more selected currency pairs. This Elliott Wave Newsletter will cover the trading plan that will be based on the intra-market analysis and Elliott Wave patterns. A full detail of a potential trading signal will be sent on members e-mail only and NOT to free newsletter subscribers!

Members of our service will receive weekly and daily wave counts that are updated during the weekend or when the price action or pattern has changed extremely.

Members will also receive all 4 hour wave counts that are updated every day, before the European session gets underway plus the intra-day wave counts (less than 4 hour chart, such as 1 hour or 30 min chart) which are posted and updated during the European and U.S. trading sessions.

Our members and e-mail subscribers (free) will also receive an Elliott Wave Newsletter where we present our bias and anticipations for the next 24 hours for one or more selected currency pairs. This Elliott Wave Newsletter will cover the trading plan that will be based on the intra-market analysis and Elliott Wave patterns. A full detail of a potential trading signal will be sent on members e-mail only and NOT to free newsletter subscribers!

If you do not want to miss a trading opportunity, or if you don’t have time to analyze the charts everyday and monitor the intra-day wave counts then follow us on twitter, and check out Our Elliott Wave Service now Don’t reprint this article. This article, Euro And S&P 500 Important Levels has free reprint rights.

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Stock Market: “Market Psychology And The Wave Structure”

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The stock market was higher in the past week and pushed the U.S. dollar index down towards the 84.00 support region. The overall price action however, was very slow on forex, even when the Wall Street session saw a bounce for more than 3% on Wednesday, the most since May 11th 2010.

The Eur/Usd moved higher from 1.2555 Sunday open to 1.2722 weekly highs, but on a very thin volume and slow price action. The reason for a slow, upward price action could be a falling trend line from 1.5140 region (December 3rd, 2010), which in fact reacted as a huge resistance on Friday during the European session when the Eur/Usd fell from 1.2722 highs towards the 1.2600 region. The weekly close on the pair was around 1.2640, 80 pips below the trend line resistance, and that could be a bearish signal for the start of the coming week (Monday, Tuesday), as traders were unable to push the pair above the trend-line.

Dollar, however, will strengthen only if stock market finds sellers. But for the mid-term, that could be a problem, especially because of the S&P 500 wave structure. From an Elliott Wave Perspective a bearish run on S&P 500 from 1.2220 top is not over yet, no doubt, but the question is how to count a decline?! Well, we are monitoring two wave counts and important price points that will confirm the correct count. Anyway, what we know, and what is the most important, is that a recent bounce from 1010 region is only a correction, a short covering rally from an oversold bounce. But where this correction will end?! It may trade up even to 1140-60 region, IF YOU COUNT A DECLINE FROM 1220 A LEADING DIAGONAL as shown on the chart below.

Well, if 1140-60 region is reached while the 1010 support holds, then optimism will come back into the market, and investors will move from Short into Long positions and they will be sure that a decline from 12220 was only a correction and that new highs are next. But at that time it will be too late to buy the market!! Market will reverse and will fall like a stone, because when something is fully expected, the opposite reaction is seen!! Like the past week per example; a lot of traders and investors, even I, were expecting a huge move lower after the 1040 was broken, but market made an opposite move, it bounced higher and took out traders that were looking for a huge Short move and also those who were positioned Long with stops down there!!

If you are an Elliott Wave trader, then you exactly know what I am talking about. The Elliott Wave Theory is a detailed description of how groups of people behave. It reveals that mass psychology swings from pessimism to optimism and back in a natural sequence, creating specific and measurable patterns. Elliott Wave Theory gives you an ability to predict the Long-term and Short-term market moves with some very simple rules and guidelines.

If you do not want to miss a trading opportunity, or if you don’t have time to analyze the charts everyday and monitor the intra-day wave counts…we are here for you!! Check out Our Elliott Wave Service now and Register today.

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